The FINANCIAL -- With the first night after their latest debate being surveyed, Donald Trump has narrowed Hillary Clinton’s lead slightly in the latest White House Watch.
The daily Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds Clinton still holding a five point lead - 44% to 39% - over her Republican rival. But yesterday she had jumped to her biggest lead ever - 45% to 38% - following the release of a video showing Trump discussing women in graphic sexual detail.
Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters. This is the first survey in which one of the nights follows the Sunday night debate.
The latest survey shows Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson holding steady at seven percent (7%) and Green Party nominee Jill Stein still trailing with two percent (2%). Four percent (4%) like some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided.
Eighty percent (80%) of voters say they are certain how they will vote. Among these voters, Clinton still leads 49% to 45%; yesterday, she posted a 51% to 45% lead in this group of voters. Among those who say they could still change their minds between now and Election Day, it’s Clinton 43%, Trump 28%, Johnson 25% and Stein four percent (4%).
Just 24% of voters say they’ve ever changed the way they were going to vote after watching the debates between presidential candidates.
Trump has the support of just 69% of Republicans but leads by 10 points among voters not affiliated with either major political party. Clinton has 80% Democratic support and now pulls 17% of the GOP vote. Trump, by contrast, has the backing of 11% of Democrats.
Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republicans and 84% of Democrats are now certain of their vote, compared to 70% of unaffiliateds.
Women are slightly more certain of their vote than men. Clinton leads by 11 points among women voters; Trump is only slightly ahead among men.
Clinton has long been the favorite of voters under 40, while older voters have opted for Trump. But the Democrat now has a small lead among middle-aged voters, while the Republican’s lead among senior citizens has narrowed.
Discipline was the word for Sunday night’s second presidential debate.
A survey conducted just before the first televised Clinton-Trump debate found that voters - particularly those within the two major parties - place more importance on the debates this election cycle than they have in past years.
Most voters believe the media, not the candidates, are setting the agenda this election season. Voters continue to strongly believe that the media is more interested in controversy than in the issues when it comes to the presidential race.